發布日期:2022-07-14 點擊率:66
盡管目前有20多個femtocell部署實驗正在進行中,但據ABI稱要真正展開對可以擴大蜂窩移動通信基站覆蓋范圍的femtocell的廣泛部署則要到2010年之后。到2010年時femtocell的出貨總量有望能達到幾千萬臺。
“到2010年,用于femtocell接入點(Access Point)的femtocell芯片解決方案在優化后將有可能接近$100這一價格點,且OEM商在收到足夠的訂單后可以通過量產降低批發價格,”ABI Research 調研機構副總兼主管Stuart Carlaw在一份聲明中表示,“femtocell市場的轉機在2009年。”
由于看好femtocell的發展前景,有很多家公司一直在積極地加大對femtocell的部署。就在不久前,Netgear和Tatara Systems還宣布了一項將Netgear的Femtocell語音網關與Tartara綜合業務相結合的計劃。該系統集成了ADSL2+調制解調器、路由器、10/100有線LAN轉換開關、VoIP技術和femtocell 3G技術。此外,還有很多從多方位進攻femtocell市場的其它femtocell項目亦在進行中 。
Carlaw稱鎖定femtocell市場的這些公司應該能夠克服技術上的問題,但是他警告開發人員必務要將其商業模式和服務計劃最優化,這樣他們才能超越純粹替代固定通信網的目標。
ABI的調查報告明確指出,早期femtocell的推廣將采用獨立產品的形式,而到后期則很可能將femtocell功能嵌入到其它產品中。
翻頁查看英文原文:
Femtocells off to slow start this year
The major electronics and communications companies working to bring femtocells to market won't have great luck cracking the market this year, reports ABI Research in a report released Monday. The market research firm predicted that just 100,000 femtocell units will be shipped this year.
Noting that more than 20 femtocell development trials are currently under way, ABI said development of the units, which soup up cellular phone coverage, isn't likely to really get wheeling until 2010, when shipments will likely total tens of millions.
"By 2010, femtocell silicon solutions will have been optimized to the degree that $100 price points for femtocell access points will be within reach, and OEMs' order books will have the volume to sustain critical wholesale price reductions," said Stuart Carlaw, ABI Research's VP and research director, in a statement. "The turning point for this market will be late 2009."
Sensing a big market, several companies have been aggressively expanding their development of femtocells. In recent weeks, Netgear and Tatara Systems announced a program to link Netgear's Femtocell Voice Gateway with Tartara's Convergence Service. The system integrates ADSL2+ modems, routers, 10/100 wired LAN switches, VoIP technology, and femtocell 3G technology. Multiple approaches to the market are also under way in several other femtocell projects.
Carlaw said the companies pursuing the market are expected to overcome challenging technical hurdles, but he cautioned developers to fine-tune their business models and service plans so they extend beyond pure fixed-mobile substitution goals.
The research firm expects early femtocell deployments to be dominated by standalone products, while later deployments will likely be carried out with femtocell functionality embedded in multiple products.